Nigeria’s GDP Grows by 3.98% in Q3 2025 as Agriculture, Industry, and Services Strengthen

Taiwo Adeola
3 Min Read
Nigeria’s GDP Grows by 3.98% in Q3 2025 as Agriculture, Industry, and Services Strengthen

Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded by 3.98% year-on-year in real terms in Q3 2025, slightly higher than the 3.86% growth recorded in the same quarter of 2024, according to the latest National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) report.

The Q3 GDP data shows broad-based improvements across key sectors, with agriculture, industry, and services all contributing to the country’s economic performance.

Key Highlights from the NBS Q3 2025 GDP Report

1. Overall GDP Performance

Sector-by-Sector Breakdown

Agriculture Sector

Agriculture recorded:

  • 3.79% growth in real terms, up from 2.55% in Q3 2024

  • Nominal sector growth: 3.18%, though 14.87 percentage points lower year-on-year

  • Crop production dominated the sector, accounting for 65.99% of total agriculture output

Industry Sector

The industry sector expanded by:

  • 3.77% in real terms, up from 2.78% in Q3 2024

Services Sector

The services sector remained Nigeria’s largest contributor:

  • Real growth: 4.15% (slightly lower than 4.97% in Q3 2024)

  • Share of GDP: 53.02%, up from 52.93% in the previous year

Oil Sector: Modest Improvements, Slower Momentum

Nigeria’s average daily oil production:

  • 1.64 million barrels per day (mbpd) in Q3 2025

  • Higher than 1.47 mbpd in Q3 2024

  • Slightly below 1.68 mbpd in Q2 2025

Oil sector performance:

  • Real growth: 5.84%, marginally higher than 5.66% in Q3 2024

  • Sharp decline compared to 20.46% in Q2 2025

  • Quarter-on-quarter contraction: 5.53%

  • GDP contribution: 3.44%, up from 3.38% in 2024 but lower than 4.05% in Q2 2025

Non-Oil Sector: Continued Stability

The non-oil sector recorded:

  • 3.91% growth in real terms

  • Higher than 3.79% (Q3 2024) and 3.64% (Q2 2025)

Key drivers:

  • Agriculture

  • Telecommunications

  • Trade

  • Real estate

  • Financial institutions

  • Construction

  • Manufacturing

Non-oil GDP share:

  • 96.56% of real GDP (slightly lower than 96.62% in Q3 2024)

The Mining and Quarrying segment—covering crude petroleum, metal ores, coal mining, and other minerals—declined sharply in nominal terms by 41.08% year-on-year.

Manufacturing Sector

Manufacturing GDP:

  • Grew 1.25% year-on-year, improving on Q3 2024

  • Slight decline of 0.34 percentage points compared to Q2 2025

Context: Previous Quarter (Q2 2025)

In Q2 2025, the NBS reported:

  • 4.23% real GDP growth, higher than 3.48% in Q2 2024

  • Nominal GDP: N100.73 trillion, compared to N84.48 trillion—a 19.23% year-on-year increase

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