Nigeria’s Net Domestic Credit (NDC) fell by 12.8 percent year-on-year to N98.97 trillion in August 2025, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s latest money and credit report. The decline, analysts say, mirrors the Central Bank’s monetary policy easing measures as inflation continues to moderate.

A breakdown shows that in August 2025, bank credit to government stood at N23.13 billion, while credit to the private sector amounted to N75.84 billion. This compares to August 2024 figures of N39.39 billion to government and N74.07 billion to the private sector, which brought total NDC to N113.46 trillion.

On a monthly trend, NDC was N102.41 billion in January 2025 and rose slightly by 0.9 percent to N103.37 billion in February, before falling sharply by 34 percent to N68.18 billion in March. It rebounded by 49.6 percent to N102 billion in April, dipped by 1.03 percent in May, and dropped further by 3.13 percent in June. Though July data was unavailable, August saw a mild 1.2 percent recovery.

Dr. Muda Yusuf, CEO of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), commended the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee for cutting the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), describing it as “a welcome and timely intervention.” He noted that a lower MPR, alongside reduced Cash Reserve Requirements, should expand banks’ lending capacity, ease borrowing costs, and stimulate business growth and job creation.

However, Yusuf cautioned that fiscal support remains crucial. “Monetary easing alone is not enough. Fiscal authorities must prioritize infrastructure, strengthen regulation, and sustain fiscal discipline to ensure macroeconomic stability and investor confidence,” he said.

David Adonri, Executive Vice Chairman at High Cap Securities Limited, warned that the ongoing contraction in credit could further strain businesses already battling inflation, forex volatility, and weak consumer demand. He noted that Nigeria’s policy move aligns with a wider African trend, with countries like Ghana and Kenya also cutting interest rates as inflation cools.

Despite these regional shifts, Nigeria’s MPR remains among the highest in Africa, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures and cautious monetary management.

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that the depreciation of the Nigerian Naira may serve as a necessary adjustment mechanism and is not inherently harmful to the economy.

Speaking during a press briefing at the IMF–World Bank Annual Meetings in Washington, Tobias Adrian, the IMF’s Financial Counsellor and Director of Monetary and Capital Markets, said exchange rates can play a stabilizing role in economies facing external shocks.

“A depreciating exchange rate is not necessarily a bad thing. It may actually be a good thing to restore equilibrium,” Adrian explained, in response to questions about the Naira’s value. He noted that the Fund generally supports a shift toward more flexible exchange rate regimes.

Adrian acknowledged that Nigeria has made progress in strengthening its policy frameworks. “We’ve seen many steps on the monetary policy side. Revenue collection has improved, and there’s greater transparency in foreign exchange reserve reporting,” he said.

He pointed to signs of improvement in Nigeria’s macroeconomic indicators, including a decline in inflation from over 30% in 2024 to around 23% in 2025. “The direction of travel appears to be positive,” he added.

Despite this progress, Adrian warned that Sub-Saharan Africa, including Nigeria, still faces vulnerabilities. With global financial conditions tightening and capital flows becoming more volatile, countries in the region risk exposure to sudden outflows, especially if underlying economic fundamentals are weak.

He urged governments to maintain strong monetary and fiscal policies, while also investing in structural reforms such as tax mobilization and debt management. “Nigeria is making efforts in these areas, and continued support from the international community will be important,” Adrian said.

Commenting on the global regulatory landscape for digital currencies, Adrian welcomed the introduction of stablecoin regulations in several countries. He cited recent legislation in the United States, as well as existing regulatory frameworks in the European Union and Japan, as examples of progress.

“Globally, there are around $400 billion in outstanding stablecoins, most of which are denominated in U.S. dollars. Regulations are beginning to catch up with the market,” he said.

The IMF, he noted, released a comprehensive policy framework for crypto assets in 2023, which outlines key regulatory principles and recommendations. While implementation differs across countries, Adrian said the overall direction of regulatory efforts is broadly aligned with the Fund’s guidance.

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